Fall Federal Budget: Will Spending Be Cut?

Canada has historically presented an annual budget since Confederation in 1867, even through periods like World Wars and the Great Depression, but we have recently experienced the longest period without a full federal budget in our history. By the time the next one is brought down, expected in October 2025, it will have been 18 months since the controversial April 2024 budget which introduced the doomed capital gains inclusion rate hikes. What can we expect?

It's a welcome relief from a 40-year high in inflationary pressures in the middle of a frigid winter spell and best of all, it’s tax free.  On January 26, 2023, Manitoba’s Premier, Heather Stefanson, unveiled a $200 million Carbon Tax Relief Fund to help Manitobans cope with the impacts of rising winter costs from food to fuel. But, to get it, a 2021 tax return needs to be filed. 

High interest rates continue to squeeze borrowers and taxpayers. Last week, the Bank of Canada announced it’s eighth interest rate increase in 12 months to 4.5%.  The prescribed interest rate charged by CRA on overdue taxes also rose this month to 8%; not quite as high as the 9% rate that began in the fourth quarter of 2006 where it stayed until the second quarter of 2008.  In our January poll, KBR readers were asked: should CRA temporarily reduce this 8% rate to give taxpayers an inflation break?  The vote is in:  78% to 22% said yes, with a number of interesting comments:

It’s that time of year. Mark your calendar for these important tax filing milestones:

In a paper titled The Mystery of Unclaimed Tax Benefits published in 2020 the authors found that about 10 to 12 per cent of Canadians don't file their tax returns. And if we look back almost a decade ago (2015) researchers estimated that the benefits lost to working-age non-filers was about $1.7 billion. That number has to be higher today, especially with all the new inflation protection measures being announced recently.

Did you set up an inter-spousal loan to do some investment income splitting last year?  You would have been wise to do it within the first two quarters of the calendar, when the prescribed interest rate was 1% – compared to 4% today. Also wise: The borrower must pay the lender the interest by January 30 – less than a week away – or the arrangement will be nullified. 

Taxpayers who claim auto expenses, commonly commission sales people, the self-employed and employees who wish to reduce their annual auto standby charge on their employer-provided vehicle, will know that keeping an auto log is mandatory to succeed in a CRA review of their tax filing.  But after a “pandemic holiday” on keeping strict records, tax filers will have to create a new base year log to meet audit requirements.