Fall Federal Budget: Will Spending Be Cut?

Canada has historically presented an annual budget since Confederation in 1867, even through periods like World Wars and the Great Depression, but we have recently experienced the longest period without a full federal budget in our history. By the time the next one is brought down, expected in October 2025, it will have been 18 months since the controversial April 2024 budget which introduced the doomed capital gains inclusion rate hikes. What can we expect?

The 31st Actuarial Report on the Canada Pension Plan (CPP)[1] was released to the Finance Minister on November 14 and tabled in Parliament on December 14, 2022, as required by law, every three years. It is an important and comprehensive overview of Canada’s vital economic statistics from which to project the sustainability of the CPP.  What’s interesting about this report is how the uncertainties ahead may affect our rate structure and what a wealth of economic news it brings.

There’s an argument to be made with high inflation, a shaky economy and possibly lacklustre returns – that this year is the worst year to retire. Retirees NEED to know how long their assets are going to last. High inflation makes that tricky as retirees must draw down more income to pay for basics like groceries and gas. 

According to a report by Toronto- based research firm Strategic Insight, approximately $1Trillion in personal wealth will change hands by 2026, with roughly 70 percent of that in the form of financial assets.  In fact, this is already taking place, as Baby Boomers and Gen X transfer their wealth to Millennials and GenZ. 

Knowledge Bureau’s Advanced T1 Tax Update is more than an incredibly fun and full day of shaking out the cobwebs and learning about the “dark tax horses” with colleagues from coast to coast! This tax update has got you covered for the entire tax season with great online resources: a comprehensive online certificate course featuring over 100 retention questions,  Evergreen Explanatory Notes – a complete tax research library - plus Knowledge Bureau’s Discovery Tools – 16 sophisticated tax planning calculators! 

Old Age Security recipients will receive more on January 27, 2023, due to inflation indexing. But just how much more is more complex these days: it depends on your age – those over age 75 receive 10% more - and whether you have postponed receiving OAS to age 70.  Here are the benefit amounts to watch for:

Advisors should identify clients who have balances owing to the CRA as soon as possible in the new year to ensure they pay off their balance due and if they cannot, to advise on the most tax-efficient way to eliminate this expensive debt.  Interest costs accrue daily at the current prescribed rate plus 4%.  The new rates in effect from January 1, 2023 to March 31, 2023 will increase the cost of a debt to CRA significantly: