The federal government earned the wrath of soon-to-be seniors recently when it suggested it might extend the age at which Old Age Security (OAS) benefits begin to age 67 from age 65. At this point, the proposal ó and it is only a proposal ó would not change OAS benefit amounts or indexing.
This begs two important questions. Why is this being proposed? And, how will this change affect your retirement plan? In this issue of Knowledge Bureau Report, Knowledge Bureau author Douglas Nelson will explore the "whyî of the federal proposal. Next week, he'll look at the impact of this change on your retirement.
Why is this change being proposed?
First, let's put the proposed OAS changes into context by comparing them with the changes that have already taken place with the Canada Pension Plan (CPP).
It is important to note that the CPP is a "fundedî program to which all Canadians contribute. It is based on employment income and both employers and employees contribute equally. (Self-employed people pay both portions). Federal and provincial governments do not contribute to this program.
Beginning in 1997 and fully implemented in 2003, the federal government increased CPP contributions to 9.9% of employment income from 6%, with the goal of ensuring the CPP's long-term sustainability. Starting last year and ending in 2016, the feds are making further changes to the CPP, now encouraging Canadians to delay drawing their CPP retirement benefits until after age 65. (Our analysis suggests that, in many cases, the best approach is to delay drawing your CPP benefits until age 70, so that you get the very best value for your dollars invested in the plan. See Knowledge Bureau Report, Jan. 18.)
So, over the past 15 years, there have already been huge changes to the CPP, all with the intention of boosting the financial soundness of the plan, in order to be ready for an aging population heading into retirement and the potentially shrinking tax revenues caused by that same population.
OAS, on the other hand, is funded out of general tax revenues. In other words, Canadian's do not contribute to this plan in any way other than through the taxes they pay. Parliamentary Budget Officer Kevin Page last week released a report on this issue entitled Federal Fiscal Sustainability and Elderly Benefits.
According to the report, 15.9¢ of every tax dollar collected in fiscal year 2010ñ2011 went to elderly Canadians.The report projects that by 2031 ó 19 years from now, when the last of the baby boomers reaches age 65 ó this figure will have climbed to 19.8¢ for every dollar of tax collected, a 3.9¢ increase. A small figure, indeed, but it is still an increase of 25%.
From where will the extra money come? What corresponding cuts to federal spending do we want to see? Are we comfortable with cuts to health-care funding, for example? Or are we prepared to pay higher taxes? The overwhelming question, then, is: are we prepared to make the necessary sacrifice, whatever it may be?
We have seen CPP contributions double and potential benefits reduced or delayed. Isn't it obvious, then, that these same changes need to take place with OAS? It appears that this small change, from a starting age of 65 to a starting age of 67, can have a large and positive impact on the overall financial situation of our country. But, once again, this point emphasizes that Canadians must rely on their own prudent savings to ensure a reasonable retirement income.
Douglas Nelson, B.Comm.(hons.), CFP, CLU, MFA, CIM is the author of Master Your Retirement: How to fulfill your dreams with peace of mind. In this book, Nelson talks about the great killers of wealth and how they remove your ability to achieve your retirement goals. Master Your Retirement provides a roadmap ó including a 12-month game plan ó to financial security and peace of mind. Doug is an independent financial advisor based in Winnipeg.